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Index Update: The S&P/ASX 200 rose on Tuesday, gaining 71.50 points, or 0.84%, to close at 8,587.20, marking a new 50-day high. The ASX 200 mirrored modest gains on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 edged higher amid ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China. Over the past five days, the ASX 200 has climbed 2.06% and now trades just 0.33% below its 52-week high. Ten of the eleven sectors ended the session higher, led by Consumer Discretionary, which rose 1.82% for the day and 2.23% over the last five sessions.
Macro Update: International markets are focused on renewed U.S.-China trade negotiations held in London, with discussions centered on export controls. Investors are also awaiting key economic data this week, including May’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) releases. These reports are expected to provide fresh insights into inflation trends and the broader effects of ongoing tariff measures on price dynamics.
According to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia’s Accommodation and Food Services sector experienced a 3.8% increase in business turnover in April, boosted by heightened consumer spending during the 10-day Easter and ANZAC Day holiday period. Additionally, the ABS reported a 1.2% rise in the total value of residential dwellings in the March quarter of 2025.
Top Market Movers: Leading the ASX 200 gains were Zip Co Limited (ASX: ZIP), up 6.39% to AUD 2.33, Mesoblast Limited (ASX: MSB), rising 6.27% to AUD 1.865, and Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: CU6), increasing 6.22% to AUD 2.39. On the downside, West African Resources Ltd (ASX: WAF) fell 4.58% to AUD 2.29, Vault Minerals Ltd (ASX: VAU) dropped 4.55% to AUD 0.42, and Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) declined 3.83% to AUD 8.55.
Commodity Update: The U.S. dollar held steady in narrow trading on Tuesday as investors stayed cautious amid ongoing U.S.-China trade talks ahead of key U.S. inflation data. Gold slipped 0.78% to $3,328.80, silver eased 0.42% to $36.64, and copper edged down 0.19% to $9,763.65. Brent crude rose 0.50% to $67.40, supported by geopolitical tensions and limited progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear discussions.
Our Stance: The recent gains in the S&P/ASX 200, supported by sector performance and consumer spending in Australia, signal resilience amid global uncertainties. Renewed U.S.-China trade negotiations and upcoming inflation data remain key factors to watch, as they will impact market sentiment and commodity prices. Despite fluctuations in commodities and ongoing geopolitical risks, rising residential property values and increased business turnover provide a stable domestic foundation. A balanced approach that captures growth opportunities while managing risks is prudent in navigating this dynamic market environment.
In its latest session, the S&P/ASX 200 Index advanced 71.50 points to close at 8,587.20, reflecting continued investor confidence. The gain was accompanied by a bullish candlestick pattern and strong trading volumes, indicating solid underlying momentum. Technically, the index remains above its 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), reinforcing the short-term bullish outlook. A critical resistance level lies at 8,615.40. A decisive breakout above this level could mark a stronger recovery and potentially alter market dynamics favorably. On a weekly timeframe, the index also trades above its 50-period SMA, providing a robust base for potential longer-term upside. To maintain the current momentum, clearing the 8,615.40 resistance is key. Success here could open the door for further gains and bolster overall market sentiment in the sessions ahead.